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Sunday 19 February 2017, 18:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
34% 30% 36%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
36.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 33.8% 2.95
Draw 29.7% 3.36
Saint Etienne 36.4% 2.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.49
Over 1.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.6% 3.16
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.6% 4.84
Under 3.5 79.4% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.48
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.1% 2.08
No 51.9% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 63.6% 1.57
Montpellier / Saint Etienne 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Saint Etienne 66.2% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
10.8
6.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
1
10.3
14.0
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.3
7.5
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.4
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.