Saturday 21 January 2017, 21:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
36%
25%
39%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
38.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Metz / Montpellier | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
6.5
|
5.6
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
11.5
|
8.5
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
8.2
|
6.5
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
4.2
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2024
Montpellier
3-0
Metz
Dec 2023
Metz
0-1
Montpellier
May 2022
Montpellier
2-2
Metz
Dec 2021
Metz
1-3
Montpellier
Feb 2021
Metz
1-1
Montpellier
Dec 2020
Montpellier
0-2
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.