Sunday 15 January 2017, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
85%
11%
4%
Home win
85.2%
Draw
10.8%
Away win
4.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.8% | 9.29 | — | — |
| Metz | 4.0% | 24.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Nice / Metz | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
7.2
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.8
|
7.2
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.5
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.7
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nice
0-0
Metz
Nov 2025
Metz
2-1
Nice
Jan 2024
Nice
1-0
Metz
Oct 2023
Metz
0-1
Nice
Jan 2022
Metz
0-2
Nice
Nov 2021
Nice
0-1
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.