Sunday 4 December 2016, 21:45
Allianz Riviera
Full time
56%
28%
16%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
15.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 15.7% | 6.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.4% | 6.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Nice / Toulouse | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.0
|
12.1
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
8.4
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Toulouse
5-1
Nice
Aug 2025
Nice
0-1
Toulouse
Feb 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Aug 2024
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Nice
Nov 2023
Nice
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.