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Friday 25 November 2016, 21:45 Roazhon Park Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
35% 31% 34%
Home win
35.0%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
33.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes 35.0% 2.85
Draw 31.0% 3.22
Toulouse 33.9% 2.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.12
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.59
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes / Draw 66.1% 1.51
Rennes / Toulouse 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Toulouse 65.0% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
11.5
6.6
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
11.8
14.3
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.1
2
6.9
7.3
3.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.5
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: Toulouse goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.