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Sunday 6 November 2016, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
62% 25% 12%
Home win
62.5%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
12.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 62.5% 1.60
Draw 25.2% 3.97
Rennes 12.4% 8.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.82
Over 1.5 66.0% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.7% 5.34
Under 3.5 81.3% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.13
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.6% 2.73
No 63.4% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 87.6% 1.14
Paris Saint Germain / Rennes 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Rennes 37.5% 2.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
5.7
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.0
11.0
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.5
8.5
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.9
4.7
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.3
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.