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Saturday 15 October 2016, 18:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
11% 24% 65%
Home win
10.9%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
65.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 10.9% 9.21
Draw 23.8% 4.21
Paris Saint Germain 65.4% 1.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.31
Over 1.5 67.2% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.8% 3.05
Over 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Under 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.8% 5.05
Under 3.5 80.2% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.16
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.7% 2.80
No 64.3% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 34.6% 2.89
Nancy / Paris Saint Germain 76.2% 1.31
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 89.1% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
17.0
15.2
8.8
3.8
1.3
1
5.1
10.4
8.5
4.9
2.1
0.7
2
1.6
2.7
2.4
1.4
0.6
0.2
3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.