Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Friday 16 September 2016, 21:45 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
Caen
0–6
HT 0–4
Paris Saint Germain
20% 20% 60%
Home win
19.8%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
59.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 19.8% 5.05 — —
Draw 20.5% 4.88 — —
Paris Saint Germain 59.7% 1.68 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.3% 29.93 — —
Over 1.5 87.5% 1.14 — —
Under 1.5 12.5% 8.02 — —
Over 2.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Under 2.5 31.0% 3.23 — —
Over 3.5 47.6% 2.10 — —
Under 3.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Over 4.5 28.6% 3.50 — —
Under 4.5 71.4% 1.40 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.2% 1.53 — —
No 34.8% 2.87 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 40.3% 2.48 — —
Caen / Paris Saint Germain 79.5% 1.26 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 80.2% 1.25 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
6.0
7.4
5.7
3.2
1.5
1
3.1
8.8
9.5
7.2
4.1
1.9
2
2.3
5.3
6.0
4.6
2.6
1.2
3
1.0
2.2
2.6
1.9
1.1
0.5
4
0.3
0.7
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Caen
W L W L
Paris Saint Germain
W W L D

Head to head

Mar 2019 Caen 1-2 Paris Saint Germain Aug 2018 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Caen May 2018 Caen 0-0 Paris Saint Germain Dec 2017 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Caen May 2017 Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Caen

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.