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Saturday 27 August 2016, 21:00 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
7% 63% 31%
Home win
6.7%
Draw
62.7%
Away win
30.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 6.7% 15.03
Draw 62.7% 1.59
Bastia 30.6% 3.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 40.0% 2.50
Under 0.5 60.0% 1.67
Over 1.5 9.6% 10.42
Under 1.5 90.4% 1.11
Over 2.5 1.5% 64.68
Under 2.5 98.5% 1.02
Over 3.5 0.2% 518.13
Under 3.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 5,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 3.5% 28.44
No 96.5% 1.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 69.4% 1.44
Caen / Bastia 37.3% 2.68
Draw / Bastia 93.3% 1.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
60.0
24.3
5.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
6.2
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.