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Saturday 20 August 2016, 21:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
13% 78% 9%
Home win
13.2%
Draw
77.9%
Away win
8.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 13.2% 7.55
Draw 77.9% 1.28
Bastia 8.8% 11.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 23.5% 4.26
Under 0.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 1.5 3.1% 32.18
Under 1.5 96.9% 1.03
Over 2.5 0.3% 377.36
Under 2.5 99.7% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0% 5,555.56
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 100,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 1.6% 62.19
No 98.4% 1.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 91.2% 1.10
Lorient / Bastia 22.1% 4.53
Draw / Bastia 86.8% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
76.5
8.3
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
12.1
1.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.