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Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
40% 29% 32%
Home win
39.6%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
31.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 39.6% 2.53
Draw 28.8% 3.48
Lorient 31.7% 3.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.65
Over 1.5 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 3.5 76.8% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.76
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.5% 1.98
No 49.5% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 68.3% 1.46
Bastia / Lorient 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Lorient 60.4% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
9.1
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
10.5
13.7
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.4
8.4
4.8
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.2
3.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.1
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Lorient goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.