Saturday 15 April 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
59%
20%
21%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
20.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.3% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Lorient | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.2% | 8.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Lorient | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
2.9
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
8.3
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
9.2
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
7.2
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
4.2
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2024
Montpellier
2-0
Lorient
Oct 2023
Lorient
0-3
Montpellier
May 2023
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Dec 2022
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Feb 2022
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier
Aug 2021
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.