Saturday 11 March 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
59.2%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
17.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Nantes | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Nantes | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
11.0
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Nantes
3-0
Montpellier
Aug 2024
Montpellier
1-3
Nantes
Apr 2024
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Oct 2023
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
May 2023
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.