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Saturday 11 February 2017, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
42% 29% 29%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 41.8% 2.39
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Montpellier 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.44
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.7% 4.40
Under 3.5 77.3% 1.29
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.04
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 70.6% 1.42
Nancy / Montpellier 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Montpellier 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
8.8
5.2
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
11.1
13.6
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
8.0
8.6
4.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.6
3.9
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.2
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.