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Wednesday 8 February 2017, 20:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
4–0
HT 2–0
65% 22% 13%
Home win
64.8%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
13.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 64.8% 1.54
Draw 22.2% 4.51
Nancy 13.0% 7.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.33
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.04
Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 3.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.52
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 87.0% 1.15
Lyon / Nancy 77.8% 1.28
Draw / Nancy 35.2% 2.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
4.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.7
10.5
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.9
9.6
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.3
6.1
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.0
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.