Sunday 5 February 2017, 22:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
40.9%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
30.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Lyon | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Lyon | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
9.2
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
13.8
|
7.0
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
8.5
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.7
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Saint Etienne
2-1
Lyon
Nov 2024
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Jan 2022
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Oct 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lyon
Jan 2021
Saint Etienne
0-5
Lyon
Nov 2020
Lyon
2-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.