Sunday 18 December 2016, 21:45
Stade Louis II
Full time
79%
12%
9%
Home win
78.9%
Draw
12.3%
Away win
8.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.3% | 8.15 | — | — |
| Lyon | 8.8% | 11.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.4% | 73.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.8% | 17.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Monaco / Lyon | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
7.2
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
8.0
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.9
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lyon
1-2
Monaco
Jan 2026
Monaco
1-3
Lyon
May 2025
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Aug 2024
Lyon
0-2
Monaco
Apr 2024
Lyon
3-2
Monaco
Dec 2023
Monaco
0-1
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.