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Saturday 10 December 2016, 18:30 Matmut Atlantique Full time
0–4
HT 0–2
22% 21% 57%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
57.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 21.7% 4.62
Draw 21.2% 4.71
Monaco 57.1% 1.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.51
Over 1.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.0% 7.71
Over 2.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 2.5 31.9% 3.13
Over 3.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 3.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 4.5 27.6% 3.62
Under 4.5 72.4% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.4% 1.53
No 34.6% 2.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 42.9% 2.33
Bordeaux / Monaco 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Monaco 78.3% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
6.1
7.2
5.3
2.9
1.3
1
3.4
9.1
9.5
7.0
3.8
1.7
2
2.6
5.6
6.2
4.6
2.5
1.1
3
1.1
2.5
2.7
2.0
1.1
0.5
4
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.