Skip to content
Saturday 3 December 2016, 21:00 Stade Louis II Full time
5–0
HT 1–0
81% 13% 6%
Home win
80.8%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
6.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 80.8% 1.24
Draw 13.0% 7.67
Bastia 6.1% 16.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.16
Over 1.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.1% 7.66
Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47
Under 2.5 31.8% 3.15
Over 3.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 3.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 4.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 4.5 72.2% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 93.9% 1.07
Monaco / Bastia 87.0% 1.15
Draw / Bastia 19.2% 5.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
8.0
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
11.8
8.2
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
11.1
7.7
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
7.9
5.5
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
4.4
3.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.