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Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
55% 26% 19%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
18.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 55.3% 1.81
Draw 26.1% 3.83
Bastia 18.6% 5.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.84
Over 1.5 71.2% 1.41
Under 1.5 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.4% 4.27
Under 3.5 76.6% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.64
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.2% 2.16
No 53.8% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 81.4% 1.23
Lyon / Bastia 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Bastia 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
6.4
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
13.2
12.3
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
9.4
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
5.1
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
2.1
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.