Friday 14 October 2016, 21:45
Allianz Riviera
Full time
56%
26%
18%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
17.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Lyon | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Nice / Lyon | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
12.1
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.5
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Mar 2025
Nice
0-2
Lyon
Dec 2024
Lyon
4-1
Nice
Feb 2024
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
0-0
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.