Sunday 2 October 2016, 18:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
78%
17%
5%
Home win
77.8%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
5.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.8% | 5.95 | — | — |
| Lorient | 5.4% | 18.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| No | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Nice / Lorient | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
7.2
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.6
|
7.4
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.8
|
5.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nice
3-3
Lorient
Nov 2025
Lorient
3-1
Nice
Apr 2024
Nice
3-0
Lorient
Aug 2023
Lorient
1-1
Nice
Mar 2023
Nice
1-1
Lorient
Oct 2022
Lorient
1-2
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.