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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00 Stade du Roudourou Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
89% 8% 3%
Home win
89.4%
Draw
7.8%
Away win
2.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp 89.4% 1.12
Draw 7.8% 12.80
Lorient 2.8% 35.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.0% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.0% 50.92
Over 1.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.6% 11.57
Over 2.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 2.5 23.2% 4.31
Over 3.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 3.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 4.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 4.5 62.1% 1.61

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp / Draw 97.2% 1.03
Guingamp / Lorient 92.2% 1.08
Draw / Lorient 10.6% 9.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
5.9
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
10.6
6.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.2
7.0
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
10.6
6.1
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
7.4
4.2
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Guingamp goals. Columns: Lorient goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.