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Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
53% 20% 27%
Home win
52.8%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
26.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 52.8% 1.89
Draw 20.3% 4.92
Nancy 26.8% 3.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.1% 47.01
Over 1.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.3% 12.09
Over 2.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 2.5 22.9% 4.37
Over 3.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 3.5 42.1% 2.38
Over 4.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 4.5 61.6% 1.62

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 74.4% 1.34
No 25.6% 3.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 73.2% 1.37
Lorient / Nancy 79.7% 1.26
Draw / Nancy 47.2% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
2.5
2.4
1.4
0.6
0.2
1
3.7
7.3
5.8
3.3
1.4
0.5
2
4.8
8.2
6.9
3.9
1.6
0.6
3
3.8
6.5
5.5
3.1
1.3
0.4
4
2.3
3.9
3.3
1.8
0.8
0.3
5
1.1
1.8
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.1
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.