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Saturday 18 March 2017, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
2–3
HT 2–0
45% 30% 24%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
24.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 45.2% 2.21
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Lorient 24.4% 4.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 7.98
Over 1.5 63.9% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 2.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 2.5 63.9% 1.57
Over 3.5 16.9% 5.91
Under 3.5 83.1% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.09
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 75.6% 1.32
Nancy / Lorient 69.7% 1.44
Draw / Lorient 54.8% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
9.4
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
14.2
13.8
5.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
9.6
8.3
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.1
3.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Lorient goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.