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Tuesday 21 February 2017, 19:30 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
47% 30% 23%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
22.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 46.9% 2.13
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Nancy 22.8% 4.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.79
Over 1.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.8% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.4% 2.82
Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.4% 6.09
Under 3.5 83.6% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.71
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.4% 2.42
No 58.6% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 77.2% 1.30
Caen / Nancy 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Nancy 53.1% 1.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
9.1
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.9
13.6
5.3
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.1
8.3
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
4.4
3.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.