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Saturday 28 January 2017, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
49% 28% 23%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 48.8% 2.05
Draw 28.1% 3.55
Caen 23.1% 4.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.89
Over 1.5 69.2% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.8% 3.25
Over 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.66
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.88
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Bastia / Caen 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Caen 51.2% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
7.8
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
12.8
13.2
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.9
9.0
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
4.8
4.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Caen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.