Wednesday 18 January 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
42%
30%
28%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
27.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Caen | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 13.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Nantes / Caen | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
9.6
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
13.9
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.3
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Caen
0-1
Nantes
Aug 2018
Nantes
1-1
Caen
Feb 2018
Caen
3-2
Nantes
Sep 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.