Wednesday 30 November 2016, 20:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
30%
30%
41%
Home win
29.9%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
40.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Lyon | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.5% | 9.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.7% | 11.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Nantes / Lyon | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.5
|
11.6
|
7.9
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
13.9
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
6.9
|
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.4
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nantes
0-1
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
3-0
Nantes
Jan 2025
Nantes
1-1
Lyon
Oct 2024
Lyon
2-0
Nantes
Apr 2024
Nantes
1-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
1-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.