Sunday 27 November 2016, 21:45
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
25%
27%
48%
Home win
25.0%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
48.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Lyon / Paris Saint Germain | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
10.6
|
8.9
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.7
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
6.4
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lyon
Apr 2024
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lyon
Sep 2023
Lyon
1-4
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.