Saturday 19 November 2016, 18:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
79%
16%
5%
Home win
79.1%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
5.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Nantes | 5.3% | 18.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Nantes | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
7.0
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.8
|
7.6
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.0
|
5.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Nantes
Aug 2025
Nantes
0-1
Paris Saint Germain
Apr 2025
Nantes
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2024
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Nantes
Feb 2024
Nantes
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2023
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.