Sunday 30 October 2016, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
66%
24%
10%
Home win
66.3%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
10.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Nantes | 10.0% | 9.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.3% | 8.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| No | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Nice / Nantes | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.3
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.9
|
10.1
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.8
|
8.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Nantes
1-4
Nice
Sep 2025
Nice
1-0
Nantes
Apr 2025
Nice
1-2
Nantes
Oct 2024
Nantes
1-1
Nice
Mar 2024
Nice
1-2
Nantes
Dec 2023
Nantes
1-0
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.