Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
28%
21%
51%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
50.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Monaco | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 44.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| No | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Nice / Monaco | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
3.8
|
4.8
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
2.7
|
7.6
|
8.2
|
6.3
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
6.1
|
7.0
|
5.4
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
3.5
|
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.5
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nice
0-0
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
2-2
Nice
Mar 2025
Monaco
2-1
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
2-1
Monaco
Feb 2024
Nice
2-3
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
0-1
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.