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Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
58% 14% 28%
Home win
58.0%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
27.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 58.0% 1.72
Draw 14.1% 7.08
Nice 27.9% 3.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.1% 840.34
Over 1.5 99.5% 1.01
Under 1.5 0.5% 200.00
Over 2.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 2.5 2.3% 42.90
Over 3.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 3.5 6.7% 14.98
Over 4.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 4.5 14.6% 6.84

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 94.2% 1.06
No 5.8% 17.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 72.1% 1.39
Montpellier / Nice 85.9% 1.16
Draw / Nice 42.0% 2.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
1
0.2
0.9
1.4
1.4
1.1
0.7
2
0.6
1.8
2.9
3.0
2.3
1.5
3
0.8
2.6
4.0
4.2
3.3
2.0
4
0.9
2.7
4.2
4.4
3.4
2.1
5
0.7
2.2
3.5
3.7
2.9
1.8
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.