Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
84%
9%
8%
Home win
83.5%
Draw
8.6%
Away win
7.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.6% | 11.64 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 7.9% | 12.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.2% | 408.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 1.1% | 87.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 4.6% | 21.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 11.9% | 8.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| No | 18.3% | 5.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Montpellier | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
0.7
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
1.8
|
3.1
|
2.7
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
4.9
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
5.7
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
5.4
|
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Guingamp
Oct 2018
Guingamp
1-1
Montpellier
Feb 2018
Montpellier
1-1
Guingamp
Nov 2017
Guingamp
0-0
Montpellier
Mar 2017
Montpellier
1-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.