Saturday 6 October 2018, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
37%
30%
33%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
32.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 32.8% | 3.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Montpellier | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
10.5
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
14.1
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
7.8
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Guingamp
Feb 2018
Montpellier
1-1
Guingamp
Nov 2017
Guingamp
0-0
Montpellier
Mar 2017
Montpellier
1-1
Guingamp
Sep 2016
Guingamp
1-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.