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Sunday 30 September 2018, 18:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
36% 27% 37%
Home win
35.5%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
37.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 35.5% 2.81
Draw 27.4% 3.64
Nimes 37.0% 2.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.09
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 3.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.51
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.81
No 44.9% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 63.0% 1.59
Montpellier / Nimes 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Nimes 64.5% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
8.6
6.3
2.8
1.0
0.3
1
8.4
13.1
8.3
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
6.0
8.1
5.5
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
2.6
3.6
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Nimes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.