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Sunday 16 September 2018, 18:00 Stade Matmut-Atlantique Full time
3–3
HT 1–2
45% 23% 32%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
31.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 45.1% 2.22
Draw 23.1% 4.32
Nimes 31.8% 3.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.82
Over 1.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.1% 7.62
Over 2.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 2.5 32.2% 3.10
Over 3.5 46.2% 2.17
Under 3.5 53.8% 1.86
Over 4.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 4.5 72.7% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.2% 1.47
No 31.8% 3.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 68.2% 1.47
Bordeaux / Nimes 76.9% 1.30
Draw / Nimes 54.9% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
4.3
3.8
2.0
0.8
0.3
1
5.3
9.7
7.3
3.8
1.5
0.5
2
5.5
8.8
7.0
3.7
1.5
0.5
3
3.5
5.6
4.4
2.3
0.9
0.3
4
1.7
2.7
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
5
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Nimes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.