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Saturday 19 May 2018, 22:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
0–4
HT 0–3
24% 26% 50%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
49.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 24.3% 4.12
Draw 26.1% 3.84
Bordeaux 49.6% 2.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.48
Over 1.5 75.8% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.2% 4.14
Over 2.5 50.6% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.4% 2.03
Over 3.5 28.6% 3.50
Under 3.5 71.4% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.29
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.6% 1.87
No 46.4% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 50.4% 1.99
Metz / Bordeaux 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Bordeaux 75.7% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
10.2
8.9
4.8
2.0
0.6
1
6.5
12.4
9.6
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
3.9
6.3
5.1
2.8
1.1
0.4
3
1.4
2.2
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.