Saturday 28 April 2018, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Dijon | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Dijon | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
11.2
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Dijon
1-3
Bordeaux
Oct 2020
Bordeaux
3-0
Dijon
Feb 2020
Bordeaux
2-2
Dijon
Aug 2019
Dijon
0-2
Bordeaux
Jan 2019
Bordeaux
1-0
Dijon
Nov 2018
Dijon
0-0
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.