Saturday 17 March 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
49%
27%
24%
Home win
49.4%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
24.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Dijon | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 8.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Dijon | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
6.8
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
12.7
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.5
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Montpellier
4-2
Dijon
Sep 2020
Dijon
2-2
Montpellier
Jan 2020
Montpellier
2-1
Dijon
Dec 2019
Dijon
2-2
Montpellier
Jan 2019
Dijon
1-1
Montpellier
Aug 2018
Montpellier
1-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.