Friday 16 February 2018, 21:45
Stade Louis II
Full time
87%
9%
4%
Home win
86.7%
Draw
8.8%
Away win
4.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.8% | 11.37 | — | — |
| Dijon | 4.5% | 22.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.3% | 74.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.0% | 16.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 17.6% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Monaco / Dijon | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 13.3% | 7.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
6.3
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
7.7
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.3
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.0
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Monaco
3-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-1
Monaco
Feb 2020
Dijon
1-1
Monaco
Nov 2019
Monaco
1-0
Dijon
Jan 2019
Dijon
2-0
Monaco
Oct 2018
Monaco
2-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.