Sunday 28 January 2018, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
35%
25%
40%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
40.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Monaco | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Marseille / Monaco | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
6.4
|
5.8
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
11.3
|
8.7
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
8.0
|
6.6
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
4.0
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Monaco
2-1
Marseille
Dec 2025
Marseille
1-0
Monaco
Apr 2025
Monaco
3-0
Marseille
Dec 2024
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Jan 2024
Marseille
2-2
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.