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Friday 15 December 2017, 21:45 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
15% 21% 64%
Home win
14.9%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
63.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 14.9% 6.70
Draw 21.2% 4.73
Monaco 63.9% 1.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.18
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.20
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.37
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 36.1% 2.77
Saint Etienne / Monaco 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Monaco 85.1% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
9.8
10.8
7.5
3.9
1.7
1
4.0
10.0
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
2
2.1
4.3
4.5
3.2
1.7
0.7
3
0.6
1.3
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.