Saturday 9 December 2017, 21:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
84%
11%
5%
Home win
84.2%
Draw
11.2%
Away win
4.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.2% | 8.95 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 4.6% | 21.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.2% | 8.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Monaco / Estac Troyes | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 15.8% | 6.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
7.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.1
|
7.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.0
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Estac Troyes
2-2
Monaco
Aug 2022
Monaco
2-4
Estac Troyes
Apr 2022
Monaco
2-1
Estac Troyes
Aug 2021
Estac Troyes
1-2
Monaco
May 2018
Estac Troyes
0-3
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.