Saturday 4 November 2017, 21:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
84%
11%
5%
Home win
84.0%
Draw
10.8%
Away win
5.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.8% | 9.25 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 5.1% | 19.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.5% | 10.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Monaco / Guingamp | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 16.0% | 6.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.7
|
7.9
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.5
|
6.3
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.4
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Guingamp
1-1
Monaco
Dec 2018
Monaco
0-2
Guingamp
Apr 2018
Guingamp
3-1
Monaco
Feb 2017
Guingamp
1-2
Monaco
Aug 2016
Monaco
2-2
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.