Saturday 21 October 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
27.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.4% | 13.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Nantes / Guingamp | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
9.6
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
13.9
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.3
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Nantes
Nov 2018
Nantes
5-0
Guingamp
Jan 2018
Guingamp
0-3
Nantes
May 2017
Nantes
4-1
Guingamp
Dec 2016
Guingamp
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.