Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
43%
29%
29%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
28.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Nantes / Guingamp | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
8.8
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
13.6
|
6.8
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
8.7
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Nantes
Nov 2018
Nantes
5-0
Guingamp
Jan 2018
Guingamp
0-3
Nantes
Oct 2017
Nantes
2-1
Guingamp
Dec 2016
Guingamp
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.