Saturday 29 April 2017, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
40%
32%
28%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
28.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.9% | 7.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.9% | 6.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.6% | 17.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Saint Etienne | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.9
|
11.1
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
14.2
|
6.1
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
7.5
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Guingamp
0-1
Saint Etienne
Aug 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Guingamp
Mar 2018
Saint Etienne
2-0
Guingamp
Dec 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2016
Saint Etienne
1-0
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.