Sunday 18 March 2018, 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Guingamp | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
8.1
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
13.4
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Guingamp
0-1
Saint Etienne
Aug 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Guingamp
Dec 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Saint Etienne
Apr 2017
Guingamp
0-2
Saint Etienne
Dec 2016
Saint Etienne
1-0
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.